Menu
Menu
编辑：Clanquire
事件陈述及原因
周二澳联储意外加息25个基点，将基准利率上调25个基点至3.85%，刷新2012年以来利率新高。这与市场认为的澳联储将继续维持3.6%利率不变的预期不符，澳联储还称今后可能需要进一步收紧货币政策，以确保通胀在合理的时间范围内回到目标水平。决议公布后，澳元兑美元短线拉升约60点，之后一度创近一周新高至0.670位置附近。而周三澳美盘面出现回调，从最高价格0.670位置回调至0.666价格位置附近，回吐了约50%的涨幅。
事件影响
目前市场预期未来6月的澳联储利率决议将保持目前的3.85%的利率。市场押注澳洲联储将因周三美国银行业的动荡而取消额外加息计划，再次预计澳洲联储的利率峰值为3.85%，而昨日澳洲联储在本月会议上的强硬表态让交易员们准备将利率峰值预期上调至4%以上。对美国银行业危机的担忧重新燃起，给美国政策前景蒙上了阴影，这表明了美联储对澳洲联储的重要性。周二，澳洲联储主席洛威的鹰派言论推高了市场利率预期，预计2023年晚些时候最有可能出现的情况是利率升至4.1%。然而，在市场担心澳联储的政策风向标容易突然逆转之际，美国银行股的暴跌已经奠定了避险基调，OIS合约显示澳洲联储今年维持利率不变的可能性为60%。
【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与Rallyville Markets无关。Rallyville Markets对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证，且不构成任何投资建议，请读者仅作参考，并自行承担全部风险与责任。
事件陈述及原因
周二澳联储意外加息25个基点，将基准利率上调25个基点至3.85%，刷新2012年以来利率新高。这与市场认为的澳联储将继续维持3.6%利率不变的预期不符，澳联储还称今后可能需要进一步收紧货币政策，以确保通胀在合理的时间范围内回到目标水平。决议公布后，澳元兑美元短线拉升约60点，之后一度创近一周新高至0.670位置附近。而周三澳美盘面出现回调，从最高价格0.670位置回调至0.666价格位置附近，回吐了约50%的涨幅。
事件影响
目前市场预期未来6月的澳联储利率决议将保持目前的3.85%的利率。市场押注澳洲联储将因周三美国银行业的动荡而取消额外加息计划，再次预计澳洲联储的利率峰值为3.85%，而昨日澳洲联储在本月会议上的强硬表态让交易员们准备将利率峰值预期上调至4%以上。对美国银行业危机的担忧重新燃起，给美国政策前景蒙上了阴影，这表明了美联储对澳洲联储的重要性。周二，澳洲联储主席洛威的鹰派言论推高了市场利率预期，预计2023年晚些时候最有可能出现的情况是利率升至4.1%。然而，在市场担心澳联储的政策风向标容易突然逆转之际，美国银行股的暴跌已经奠定了避险基调，OIS合约显示澳洲联储今年维持利率不变的可能性为60%。
【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与Rallyville Markets无关。Rallyville Markets对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证，且不构成任何投资建议，请读者仅作参考，并自行承担全部风险与责任。
© 版权所有 2024 - Rallyville Markets Global. All rights reserved.
This website is owned by Rallyville Markets Global Limited. Registration number – 2194355. MSB registration number – M23092517
Investing Over the Counter (OTC) foreign exchange and derivative products carry a high level of risk and is not suitable for all investors. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets which the OTC derivative is referring to. Before you decide whether or not to invest these products, we encourage you to consider your investment objectives, your risk tolerance, and trading experience. You could lose substantially more than your initial investment so do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. We recommend that your seek independent advice before opening an account with us. The general advice provided by us do not consider your financial objectives or personal circumstances. The content of this website should not be interpreted as personal advice; Please seek advice from independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. If there are any suggestions on this site, they are only general suggestions.
You should consider whether you’re part of our Target Market Determination (TMD), and read our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS), Client Agreement, Risk Disclosure and other relevant legal documents posted on our website to ensure you fully understand the risk before you make any trading decisions. The information and advertisements offered on this website are not directed to the investors other than residents of Saint Vincent, Grenadines and Vanuatu, and are not intended for the use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such use is contrary to the local laws and regulations.
*Products and Services offered on this website is not intended for residents of the United States, Australia, Afghanistan, Albania, Canada, Egypt, Japan, Lebanon, Nicaragua, Russia, Senegal, United Arab Emirates.